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Small Independents Vie To Create Shuttle Replacement

SpaceExploration Monday, February 10, 2003 . This is a SciScoop post by Ricky James

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As detailed in Technology Review, many private players are spurred by the prospect of capturing the $10 million X-Prize. This bounty, offered by a St. Louis, MO-based foundation funded by space tourism boosters, will be awarded to the first privately financed rocket craft that carries three people to the edge of space at an altitude of at least 100 kilometers, returns them safely to Earth, and does it all again within two weeks. Already, 24 players have signed up to make the attempt.

Xcor Aerospace, led by former Intel executive Jeff Greason, may have the best shot yet at actually giving the world a reusable rocket plane. Last July their lightweight craft dubbed EZ-Rocket reached a new aviation milestone when pilot Dick Rutan, who had also piloted Voyager, put its twin rocket motors through a pivotal “touch and go” maneuver: taking off, shutting down the engines, landing, firing the motors up again, and taking off without stopping. Each of Rutan’s two flights in the tiny two-seat rocketplane, which resembles a jet fighter with its tail chopped off and stubby winglets installed near its nose, lasted less than 15 minutes and never reached altitudes higher than 3,000 meters. Still, Xcor Aerospace is continuing incremental development efforts even though its EZ-Rocket does not meet the three-person criterion of the X-Prize.

Several competing companies are already pursuing the grand vision: a craft that can go all the way into orbit. One is Pioneer Rocketplane of Solvang, California which has designed a rocket-and-jet hybrid called Pathfinder. After taking off with traditional jet engines and reaching a cruising altitude of about 5,500 meters, a fuel-tanker plane will rendezvous with the Pathfinder and pump liquid oxygen into an empty tank onboard the craft. Then, propelled by a combination of liquid oxygen and kerosene, the Pathfinder will light its rocket motor and soar to an altitude of 139 kilometers, where it will release an unmanned upper stage to deliver a 2,280 kilogram payload into orbit. Pioneer’s CEO, Mitchell Burnside Clapp, (who can do more than sing) was responsible for an Air Force design of an airplane-like reusable rocket that later evolved into the Pathfinder concept. Because of that design, Pioneer Rocketplane is a leading competitor for a Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency project to develop an inexpensive rocket-propelled satellite launcher. DARPA is expected to announce the award of two final design contracts on March 1.

Development efforts of a Shuttle replacement aren’t limited to the US, either. Germany’s Astrium design is expressly leaving out human cargo. Instead, it is developing an autonomous rocket craft called Hopper, designed to provide cheap satellite launches. The first step in this direction is the Phoenix, a one-sixth-scale version of the Hopper. The Phoenix is mainly a test bed for autonomous landing technology. The craft’s designers are incorporating laser-based altimeters–altitude sensors–and digital Global Positioning System equipment together with intelligent-navigation algorithms that enable the craft to make a gliding runway landing without help from humans or equipment on the ground. The first test of the vehicle, which is under construction, is expected next year: a helicopter will drop the Phoenix from an altitude of about 1,400 meters, leaving it to land on its own. Astrium estimates that the full-size Hopper could launch satellites in 15 to 20 years, at half today’s launch costs.

1 Response to Small Independents Vie To Create Shuttle Replacement

apsmith

February 10th, 2003 at 11:13 am

The real goal here is cheap access to space, and the X prize goal is not even half-way there – sure you’ve gone 100 miles, but there’s no way to stay up without coming up with the 15 thousand mph orbital velocity too…

I have some sympathy for Xcor – I think if we ever do get a true re-usable low-maintenance space craft, they’re a major contender. But for getting stuff to space cheaply, it’s important not to forget all the big boys out there already doing it (admittedly not with human “cargo”): – see this article on the myth of $10,000 per pound to orbit…

Actually, there are some new contenders (the Russian/Ukrainian Dnepr for example) that are even less expensive, and the new EELV (Atlas V, Delta IV) promise new savings over the older US launch options. But part of the reason things are so expensive is a lack of economies of scale – and with limited markets and so many contenders, none of them is going to get the huge numbers of launches needed to really make things cheaper.

Of course, all these I’ve mentioned are satellite launchers – none are rated for human use. But that may just be a technicality – the new Atlas and Delta rockets certainly have the lift capability for human flight; the real question is realiability, which is perhaps a matter of time (and their launch rate, again…)

The point is that there is already a heated competition for launch services that is already cutting prices; the problem is not any new technology that’s needed (although I do hope we’ll figure out how to make re-usables work eventually), the real problem that has led to a lack of improvement is that the market for those services has almost dried up, the last few years. If there were more money overall launching things to space, we’d have both continuing incremental improvements and plenty of room for any revolutionary ideas that came along. The shuttle budget, at $3 billion/year, isn’t really enough to make much of a dent in the market issues even if it were devoted fully to purchasing new launch services.

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