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If This Is Winning, I Couldn't Take Losing
By rickyjames, Section Commentary
Posted on Sun Dec 28, 2003 at 09:29:34 AM PST

Technology There's an article in today's Washington Post that everyone should read. I'll get back to it in a moment. But first, to the undoubted joy of many, here are my final words at SciScoop on Iraqi WMDs until some are actually found (yeah, right):

As you may have noticed, I haven't done one of my Southern-Baptist-style, shout-loud-from-the-pulpit rants on WMDs in Iraq lately. What's the point of ranting when nobody seems to care that a lack of WMDs is equally if not moreso disturbing than actually finding them? The official word about the State-Of-The-Union yellowcake fiasco is that it wasn't a lie; it was just a "goof." Reports from Iraqi scientists themselves about the impotence of the Iraqi nuclear program are all but ignored. In a national secuity matter where the stakes couldn't be higher, vampire hunter David Kay is laying down his wooden stakes. His Iraq Survey Group task force searching for Iraqi WMDs is reportedly being reduced in number from 1400 to only 40 under a disturbing virtual American media blackout. Iraqi occupation governor Paul Bremer calls recent claims of WMD labs in Iraq a "red herring," politically backing off from such strong words only when told the quote he's attacking was actually uttered by Tony Blair. With poll numbers supportingly high, President Bush sees no need whatsoever to directly address a failure to find WMDs in Iraq.

With this recent ABC interview, President Bush has effectively recast the U.S. national security debate from finding actual caches of WMDs to neutralizing perceived impending threats to America the Bush way. His patriotic rhetoric belies, in my opinion, a humbling reality and grave tactical mistake that he and his Administration have certainly not acknowledged to the public-- more troublesome, perhaps, not even to themselves.

America may be a land of unlimited opportunity, but it certainly is not a land of unlimited resources. American military power is one such limited and even fragile resource which has arguably been overcommitted to war with Iraq. The reality of what paltry American military forces are left to deal with countries who REALLY DO have WMDs and REALLY DO wish America ill places America in greater peril than ever since 9/11. When does the national security debate focus on THAT, as I fear it should?

Osama bin Laden is, in my book, a dangerous military strategist, currently in command of courageous and loyal troops who realized that hijacked Boeings are de-facto WMDs and may well have other very interesting insights on just how to fight a jihad in downtown Manhattan that may be shared with us any time now. It is a disgraceful fact that the search for Osama was put on the back burner while we focused for months on finding some neutralized bearded guy hiding in a spider hole. So now that we've found Saddam, now that we've all but given up on finding Iraqi WMDs, isn't it time at last for an all-out push to find Osama, the enemy of America who started this whole mess by killing ten times the American citizens in New York than have died at Saddam's hand in Iraq?

Not according to Dubya. He's supporting Pentagon decisions regarding the ultra-secret Task Force 121 commando unit previously hunting Saddam, redeploying them to hunt insurgents in Iraq who are not a threat to America, instead of Osama in Afghanistan, who is. According to that last link, Dubya has also supported pulling out half of the 800 commandos in Afghanistan who were directly hunting for Osama and sending them to looking for harmless-to-America Iraqi insurgents, too. Ditto for the 1360 people who have been reassigned from the Iraqi Survey Group's WMD hunt that David Kay is abandoning. And in the ultimate in bad decision making, Dubya has made National Security Advisor Condi Rice and her staff head of Iraq reconstruction efforts. Huh? Just who's left minding the store? Does Dubya think there aren't enough WMD national security threats out there to keep our National Security Advisor and her staff occupied fulltime? Sheesh.

Unfortunately, there are. In one report that was barely covered in the next-to-last sentence of isolated U.S. media reports, David Kay himself said one "African country" that was not Niger (but that he declined to identify) had offered to supply Iraq with uranium. Kay found no evidence that Saddam followed up on the offer. Hmm, wonder who this "unnamed African nation" offering uranium to dictators is, and why we haven't clobbered it already like Dubya said we would in the OTHER, non-yellowcake State of the Union address from 2002?

Maybe this secret font of uranium is from the terrorist nation Libya, the rogue nation that downed Pan Am Flight 103 over Lockerbie, Scotland. Its nutty Muslim leader, Col. Moammar Gadhafi, recently acknowledged a serious nuclear weapons program. But here's the thing I don't understand. Dubya has been negotiating with Libya for months to Make America Safer From Libyan WMDs and is willing to allow UN inspections to handle Libyan nuclear disarmament. These are EXACTLY the same two steps Dubya refused to take a year ago because we were in Imminent Danger from Saddam. We start a $150-billion-plus war in the name of national security against Arabs that have no nukes, then talk for months and send in the UN to deal with Arabs that do. Huh? I just don't get it. And Libya has oil, too...but not as much as Iraq.

Well, if we're not going to hound and pound Saudi Arabs who kill Americans by the thousands or Libyan Arabs who have bona-fide nuclear weapons programs, we might as well get back to talking about the defenseless Iraqi Arabs we utterly clobbered nine months ago. And that's where the article in today's Washington Post that everyone should read comes in - remember that? In a nutshell, the article says America has totally backpedaled from our grand pronouncements of what we promised to do in Iraq for those freedom-loving, democracy-craving Iraqi people. Just like we've backpedaled from our grand pronouncements of what we promised to do in Afghanistan, but that's another story I'm sure you don't want me to get started on now. I'm sure the Afghani people understand your impatience with me to end this rant.

Notes the Washington Post article: "There's no question that many of the big-picture items have been pushed down the list or erased completely," said a senior U.S. official involved in Iraq's reconstruction, who spoke on the condition of anonymity. "Right now, everyone's attention is focused [on] doing what we need to do to hand over sovereignty by next summer."

These big picture items now being ignored include replacing daily government handouts of food to 90% of Iraqis with cash payments of $15 per day to allow growth of "supermarkets"; privatizing state-run industries that would throw thousands of workers out of work (probably to become additional insurgents) in a necessary step in creating a viable economy that could lower Iraq's 60% unemployment rate; dissolving armed Kurd and Shiite militias that are protecting their ethnic groups (over two-thirds of Iraq's population) from the Saddam-Sunni minority remnants that ruled over them for decades; and most importantly of all, establishing an Iraqi constitution before sovereignty turnover.

Dubya has made frequent comparisons to how hard reforming Iraq would be; well, he's right about that. He often compares the process of stabilizing Iraq to the reform of Germany and Japan after World War II, a process that officially took seven years and practically took even longer. So just what kind of totally idiotic lunacy is handing over sovereignty to Iraq by next summer? In a land where 90% of the people are getting food handouts, where 60% are unemployed, where 50% of the New Iraqi Army troops mustered have just up-and-quit, where militias from more than one ethnic group are still in operation, WHERE THERE IS NOT EVEN A CONSTITUTION IN PLACE? This isn't the response of an America who gave Germany and Japan a new start that eventually let them regain their status as major world powers. This is a recipe for a very bloody civil war five minutes after we hand government over to a bunch of bickering, grievous people who aren't ready to govern themselves yet.

Why is Dubya so hellbent on turning over sovereignty in Iraq by July 1, 2004? One reason and one reason only: to get ready for a re-election bid as American President on November 2, 2004.

There is something worse than going after Osama only half-heartedly, not like a rat terrier that smells something down in a hole. There's something worse than the hypocrisy of decimating one nation while secretly dealing with and sending in UN surrogates to disarm a more dangerous one. There's something worse than the hypocrisy of condemning another nation of failing to consider international implications of their actions to secure freedom when you yourself do the same thing. There's something worse than handing over a county to almost assured civil war. There's even something worse than WMDs.

That something is to use the powers of the American Presidency for personal gain.

If This Is Winning, I Couldn't Take Losing | 21 comments (20 topical, 0 hidden)

Not tired (5.00 / 1) (#5)
by pinerob on Mon Dec 29, 2003 at 05:31:38 AM PST
I for one am not tired of rickyjames pointing out George Bush Jr's f**up's. I think that rickyjames keeps posting his commentarries here(did I spell that right?, doesn't look like it) because he does not see the major news media putting George Bush or his administration on the spot and asking him why they have not lived up to their promises from before, plus, like rickyjames pointed out, it doesn't seem to matter to anyone that we spent $150+plus billion dollars to start a war with a country that does not have any WMD, and that was indeed contained. True, Iraqi's did not have the best of lives under Sadaam but they are in good company, much of the rest of the world is in the same bad shape. I think with his posting, he just wants to start a debate that will at the very least reach some people here and get them thinking about whether or not we need someone like Shrub in power.

I also don't understand why the major media outlets don't question Shrub's actions on Iraq, granted I don't usually watch the media because more often than not, they get things wrong, but the only thing that I saw the media get hyper about was Shrub's State of the Union speech where he talked about Iraq buying uranium(?) from Nigeria which turned out to be false later on. Apparently to the media, as long as Shrub doesn't say anything wrong in his State of the Union speech, then it's all good.

I wish there was more of a national debate on Shrub's actions regarding Iraq and that there were enough people to recall Shrub from power. I disagree with many of Shrub's actions to date, not only regarding Iraq but many other policies, especially his unilaterism regarding many international conventions. As the Washington Post article says, I think Shrub finally realized that the US's military might is a finite resource that cannot be used to take over the world. I picture Shrub, like a lot of uninformed citizens, thinking that since we have the best armed military and the largest economy it shouldn't be too hard to make people do what we want them to do. I believe that past US military success has hinged on having the hearts and minds of the people we were freeing and also many allies to share the burden....while it may be that the US shouldered more than most, it would not have been so victorious on its own.

I know, rickyjames, you said it was your last posting regarding Iraq, but if you find out something significant regarding Shrub and his actions towards Iraq I hope you will post it.

thanks



What Iraqi Sovereignty Really Means (5.00 / 1) (#11)
by rickyjames on Mon Dec 29, 2003 at 10:34:57 PM PST
Well, I get the feeling that some readers are so sure I'm bashing or even hating Bush that they're ignore my main point. My bad, I did end on the for-shame finger-pointing on Dubya. Let me end on this.

I do believe Dubya & Co. are insisting on this Rush To Iraqi Sovereignty by July 1 solely for their own 2004 political campaign gain. I can just hear the 4th of July speech that Bush's writers are crafting for him now - We've won, on this great day celebrating American freedom we welcome the newly-sovereign Saddam-free Iraqis into the fold of free nations, we've won, we've won. IF Dubya can get the media coverage on Iraq greatly shut down just after that turnover and his Big Speech a few days later, (and I wouldn't put a planted, pre-planned long-term media diversion - um, maybe just plain election coverage madness? - past him and Karl Rove at that point), THEN he thinks his problems with Iraq are over.

I'm afraid they're just beginning.

Here's what Iraqi sovereignty really means. If whoever is put in charge issues an edict on July 5 that all American troops are to pull back to Kuwait in 30 days, then in August there's no American troops in Iraq. If they decide to set up a theocracy complete with Saudi style mutaween religious-police, then that's what happens without American interference. If they decide to continue to prevent women from voting, or decide to put them in burqas, then that's the way it goes. Any wacko direction the newly sovereign Iraqi government decides to go down, we as Americans who declared them sovereign have to stand back and watch. Whatcha wanna bet democracy will be the wacko direction they decide to go down on their own? Oh, that's right - we've already bet $150 billion and 300+ American lives!!! Roll them dice!!!

If the Kurds decide the day after we turn over sovereignty to declare themselves an independent nation - something they've only been trying to do for oh, every day in the last century or so (and they'll never get a better shot at it than now) --- then that's insurrection but hey, it won't be a U.S. problem - it will be an Iraqi problem!!! Except they won't have an army to deal with it, so guess the Kurds get what they want. Oops, there goes a third of Iraq's population, headed out in their own direction. Turkey may well invade to prevent their own Kurds from joining the fun, and the U.S. will no longer have the responsibility for stopping that Turkish invasion - It's an Iraqi problem!!!

If the Shiite Muslim majority enacts Saudi-style laws or rulings that are punitive in nature to the Saddam-Sunni Muslim minority that treated them like crap for twenty years, or heck, just start lining Sunnis up for execution after 30-second war crime trials right beside the beheading block, well, we as Americans will have to just stand back and watch it happen just like we watch the sword-wielding Islamically justified beheadings in Saudi Arabia today. Wonder if it will get covered live on Court TV.

Maybe the Sunnis won't let themselves be picked on by the Shiites. Bang. Civil war.

Maybe Iraq decides to stop selling oil to American infidels, or decide to raise its price via OPEC membership to the highest levels possible - they've got a country to rebuild!!! Well, get ready to stand in line at the gas pumps of America and pay $2 per gallon. They're sovereign, remember?

If a bomb goes off in the middle of the Iraqi Ruling Council and kills them all, it's up to the sovereign Iraqi government to reconstitute itself. If some strongman leader rises up and declares himself the temporary ruler to sort out the mess, that's sovereignty - and it's how Saddaam got started back in the 1980s.

But Dubya's got the November 2004 election issues in America under control!!! We gave them Iraqis what they said they wanted and what we said we would: their country back with Saddam gone. Isn't America great?

Sheesh. Dubya and his people aren't dumb. They know this could go Bad in a heartbeat and THEY HAVE DELIBERATELY DECIDED TO TAKE A BIG, BIG CHANCE that Iraqi reconstruction can be done on the cheap FOR POLITICAL POSITIONING IN THE NOVEMBER 2004 ELECTION. This is not prudent stewardship of power for either Americans or Iraqis. This is a preventable tragedy of monumental proportions in the making...of Dubya's making. If we'd returned German sovereignty in the summer of 1946, the Nazis would control the Bundstag today. Given the fanaticism behind Islam, this could end up being worse. It's one tomorrow I don't want to explore.

Enjoy reading this SciScoop story? Here's a thousand more.




Too much F, not enough S. (4.00 / 1) (#12)
by SEWilco on Tue Dec 30, 2003 at 03:35:37 AM PST
As a Middle East SF author, rickyjames is not as good as Saddam Hussein. Admittedly, Saddam also was able to enhance his creations with old facts, U.N. inspector performance art, pyrotechnic props, and gas mask deceptions. But his works seem to have not been particularly memorable and he is not getting the recognition which he deserves. And Saddam did take the reclusive author role to an excessive extreme.



Is it time for action? (4.00 / 1) (#13)
by apsmith on Tue Dec 30, 2003 at 07:37:44 AM PST
Ricky, I think I advised you a long time ago that controversial/outrageous statements were a good way to drum up conversation on a site like this - not that I disagree with what you said :-)

But rather than ranting about the problem, perhaps it's time for scientifically-oriented people to work on solutions. Personally, I've become involved in Howard Dean's campaign; I was out on our local streets last week getting petition signatures for our state, and I'm one of the moderators of the "Science and Technology" topic at the Dean Issues Forum - the blog over at Scientists for Dean is pretty active too. Come check it out, if you're at all interested in defeating "Dubya".

And now I need to spend a bit of time thinking about an interesting suggestion from gypsysoul...


Join us at the National Space Society and help open space to everyone!



George Bush and personal gain (3.00 / 1) (#2)
by syngensmyth on Mon Dec 29, 2003 at 04:21:44 AM PST
I like your site for the amalgamation of various scientific information, but I am quite tired of your political ranting. The George Bushes as I understand it are quite rich. I'm quite sure he does not need to invade Iraq for personal gain. Are there not sufficient conspiracy kook sites on the net already? Do we really need you, too.



WWRJD ? (none / 0) (#15)
by calia on Wed Dec 31, 2003 at 11:17:59 AM PST
Ricky-James,

When persons sort of parrot what the pop-media/academic culture happens to be saying, I am, quite frankly, disappointed.  

And precisely how does one even know which issues have been thought through very 'critically' by people we listen to, or which sets of ideas have any basis in reality at all?  On a superficial level, one really does not initially know these things.  (by thinking critically, I don't mean, of course, "I feel, therefore I think " ..." ")  Judging by most of what you've said so far, RJ, the bulk of what you listen to seems to be highly reactionary.  I guess I don't perceive the pres as stupid at all.  And outside of listening to what other "political" sources have said about him, where exactly do you get this idea from?  

One can carry on endlessly about the presidential foreign policy missteps, but only time will tell what he really did and how he performed his duties.  People with misgivings (another word for "FEELINGS", mind you) towards a person's, or politicians, ideology just don't seem to have the patience to wait for the outcome.  But whatever the public perception of the pres. may be, he is certainly not a man of poor character.  

Let's make you the pres for six weeks or so - alright?  What would you have done if some opposing state sponsored a terror group which attacked your beautiful state, and killed a few thousand innocent human beings?  hmmm?  

All kinds of solutions seem "perfect" in hypothetical-ville, don't they.



If This Is Winning, I Couldn't Take Losing | 21 comments (20 topical, 0 hidden)

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